"The USA will stop patrolling the oceans. The number of people rich enough to go to Burning Man will shrink. A few countries like Sweden, Argentina, North America will do fine, but most of Asia, the middle East, and Africa will collapse, starve, de-industrialize, and be at war and living in horrific conditions. China will collapse, and de-globalization will fragment the world. The distance in lifestyle between countries will widen, and immigration will be seen through Giorgia Meloni's eyes and Trump's eyes, not Obama's. ... Yes the bottom half of the world will be much better off. But that's not my people. My people, depending on how you define it, are the Brazilians, who will be more or less the same, the Californians, who will be slightly worse, the Anywheres, who will be slightly better, or the high IQ people, who will be significantly worse off, as society has more meaningful things for great minds to do during periods of rise or prosperity, and we are not of much use during decline. Relatability to the average person drives popularity today, with most young people who are getting famous on youtube or TikTok being simply sligthly more attractive versions of the declining citizenry, and not its prime members. Elon is basically the only idol of our era who actually became an idol for doing stuff. ... What I'm saying is that in an age of decline and decadence, debauchery and relatability win, talent and intelligence don't have a place, and thus the high intelligence people of society end up in anomy, having nowhere to go. Elon is the final frontier because space and stuff, but he's old and aging, and the techno-optimism he represents was only instantiated by one other person in the last 20 years: Satoshi Nakamoto. Bitcoiners have some command of ideology and religiosity but at the end of the day there's only so much meaning you can extract from a one dimensional ever shifting number going up and down. Obviously new Elons will rise, but most people after Uber and AirBNB kind of ran out of ideas of what to do. Biology is too complicated for biotech companies to succeed fast enough to please the psychology of millenials and gen Zers plugged to TikTok or youtube. ... was so eager to learn (toxo? big brain? genes, what the heck) that I enmeshed myself head first in the Oxford universitariat Syllicon Valley sphere of influence by pursuing the smartest people in the world I could access, and that shielded me from the historical, social and societal reality that was unfolding around me in the meanwhile. Plus, like everyone, I was misled by technological progress and the internet, because it is far easier to understand Moore's law than to understand that Brazil depends on Russian Phosphate for its agricultural surplus and thus if the war in Ukraine continues and trade routes get more damaged the supply of food for importers like Mexico, Chile and Africa could be in serious danger." https://www.facebook.com/giego.optimist/posts/pfbid02dpLzbrxVua6ayvoo2JQu23AN57SmcDxUuRgBT5iimdVLuwfdomJLLkfZRtJPUtExl (Dec 2022)
Great episode. Got to touch a lot of key ideas I've been wanting to get out. A must listen!
This interesting. Comments welcome.
"The USA will stop patrolling the oceans. The number of people rich enough to go to Burning Man will shrink. A few countries like Sweden, Argentina, North America will do fine, but most of Asia, the middle East, and Africa will collapse, starve, de-industrialize, and be at war and living in horrific conditions. China will collapse, and de-globalization will fragment the world. The distance in lifestyle between countries will widen, and immigration will be seen through Giorgia Meloni's eyes and Trump's eyes, not Obama's. ... Yes the bottom half of the world will be much better off. But that's not my people. My people, depending on how you define it, are the Brazilians, who will be more or less the same, the Californians, who will be slightly worse, the Anywheres, who will be slightly better, or the high IQ people, who will be significantly worse off, as society has more meaningful things for great minds to do during periods of rise or prosperity, and we are not of much use during decline. Relatability to the average person drives popularity today, with most young people who are getting famous on youtube or TikTok being simply sligthly more attractive versions of the declining citizenry, and not its prime members. Elon is basically the only idol of our era who actually became an idol for doing stuff. ... What I'm saying is that in an age of decline and decadence, debauchery and relatability win, talent and intelligence don't have a place, and thus the high intelligence people of society end up in anomy, having nowhere to go. Elon is the final frontier because space and stuff, but he's old and aging, and the techno-optimism he represents was only instantiated by one other person in the last 20 years: Satoshi Nakamoto. Bitcoiners have some command of ideology and religiosity but at the end of the day there's only so much meaning you can extract from a one dimensional ever shifting number going up and down. Obviously new Elons will rise, but most people after Uber and AirBNB kind of ran out of ideas of what to do. Biology is too complicated for biotech companies to succeed fast enough to please the psychology of millenials and gen Zers plugged to TikTok or youtube. ... was so eager to learn (toxo? big brain? genes, what the heck) that I enmeshed myself head first in the Oxford universitariat Syllicon Valley sphere of influence by pursuing the smartest people in the world I could access, and that shielded me from the historical, social and societal reality that was unfolding around me in the meanwhile. Plus, like everyone, I was misled by technological progress and the internet, because it is far easier to understand Moore's law than to understand that Brazil depends on Russian Phosphate for its agricultural surplus and thus if the war in Ukraine continues and trade routes get more damaged the supply of food for importers like Mexico, Chile and Africa could be in serious danger." https://www.facebook.com/giego.optimist/posts/pfbid02dpLzbrxVua6ayvoo2JQu23AN57SmcDxUuRgBT5iimdVLuwfdomJLLkfZRtJPUtExl (Dec 2022)